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World Cup
Honduras national football team
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Second Round
Jun 7, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Tiburcio Carias Andino
Cuba national football team

Honduras
3 - 1
Cuba

Lozano (26'), Rodriguez (45+2'), Castillo (82')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Reyes (22')
Hernandez (52'), Angel Rodriguez (86'), Torrez Gutierrez (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - North Central America clash between Honduras and Cuba, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Honduras

All competitions
Last Game: El Salvador 1-1 Honduras
Wednesday, March 27 at 1am in International Friendlies

Cuba

All competitions
Last Game: Nicaragua 0-1 Cuba
Wednesday, March 27 at 1am in International Friendlies

We said: Honduras 2-0 Cuba

 During the previous Nations League campaign, the Cubans showed that they are a challenging team to break down defensively but have yet to impress when in possession versus some of the stronger CONCACAF sides, which is why we project a tight match but a narrow victory for the Hondurans. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honduras win with a probability of 84.86%. A draw had a probability of 11% and a win for Cuba had a probability of 4.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Honduras win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.74%) and 1-0 (10.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.13%), while for a Cuba win it was 0-1 (1.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Honduras would win this match.

Result
HondurasDrawCuba
84.86% (0.554 0.55) 10.96% (-0.177 -0.18) 4.17% (-0.373 -0.37)
Both teams to score 35.75% (-2.383 -2.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.19% (-1.276 -1.28)36.8% (1.279 1.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.02% (-1.399 -1.4)58.98% (1.402 1.4)
Honduras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.78% (-0.137 -0.14)6.22% (0.1391 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.5% (-0.383 -0.38)23.49% (0.387 0.39)
Cuba Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
38.12% (-2.481 -2.48)61.88% (2.484 2.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
8.42% (-1.2389 -1.24)91.58% (1.242 1.24)
Score Analysis
    Honduras 84.86%
    Cuba 4.17%
    Draw 10.96%
HondurasDrawCuba
2-0 @ 14.84% (0.69 0.69)
3-0 @ 13.74% (0.53 0.53)
1-0 @ 10.69% (0.58 0.58)
4-0 @ 9.54% (0.293 0.29)
2-1 @ 7.13% (-0.251 -0.25)
3-1 @ 6.6% (-0.287 -0.29)
5-0 @ 5.3% (0.121 0.12)
4-1 @ 4.58% (-0.239 -0.24)
5-1 @ 2.54% (-0.154 -0.15)
6-0 @ 2.45% (0.037 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.58% (-0.21 -0.21)
6-1 @ 1.18% (-0.081 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.156 -0.16)
7-0 @ 0.97% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 84.86%
1-1 @ 5.13% (-0.138 -0.14)
0-0 @ 3.85% (0.237 0.24)
2-2 @ 1.71% (-0.211 -0.21)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 10.96%
0-1 @ 1.85% (-0.035 -0.03)
1-2 @ 1.23% (-0.141 -0.14)
Other @ 1.09%
Total : 4.17%

How you voted: Honduras vs Cuba

Honduras
76.2%
Draw
19.0%
Cuba
4.8%
21
Head to Head
Oct 16, 2023 1am
League A
Honduras
4-0
Cuba
Maldonado (9'), Lozano (13'), Quioto (67' pen.), Rochez (90')

Corrales (73'), Hernandez (84')
> Preview
Oct 13, 2023 2am
League A
Cuba
0-0
Honduras
Perez (4'), Morejon (90+1')
Zapata (28')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
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