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Women's Super League | Gameweek 21
May 4, 2024 at 1pm UK
The American Express Community Stadium

Brighton Women
0 - 1
Aston Villa

FT(HT: 0-0)
Lehmann (64')
Hanson (45+2'), Maritz (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Women's Super League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion Women and Aston Villa Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spurs Ladies 1-1 Brighton Women
Sunday, April 28 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-1 West Ham
Sunday, April 28 at 2pm in Women's Super League

We said: Brighton & Hove Albion Women 0-2 Aston Villa Women

Brighton have lost each of their last four home matches, and we think that run will continue against an Aston Villa side that has won three of their previous five away league games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Women win with a probability of 63.08%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion Women had a probability of 17.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.3%) and 1-3 (7.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.34%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion Women win it was 2-1 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa Women would win this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove Albion WomenDrawAston Villa Women
17.9% (0.91 0.91) 19.02% (1.218 1.22) 63.08% (-2.125 -2.13)
Both teams to score 61.84% (-2.861 -2.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.35% (-4.406 -4.41)32.66% (4.408 4.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.68% (-5.275 -5.28)54.33% (5.276 5.28)
Brighton & Hove Albion Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.66% (-1.847 -1.85)31.34% (1.849 1.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.3% (-2.196 -2.2)67.71% (2.198 2.2)
Aston Villa Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.07% (-1.696 -1.7)9.94% (1.6991 1.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.13% (-4.075 -4.08)32.88% (4.076 4.08)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion Women 17.9%
    Aston Villa Women 63.08%
    Draw 19.02%
Brighton & Hove Albion WomenDrawAston Villa Women
2-1 @ 4.84% (0.319 0.32)
1-0 @ 3.61% (0.646 0.65)
3-2 @ 2.16% (-0.136 -0.14)
2-0 @ 2.1% (0.285 0.29)
3-1 @ 1.87% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 17.9%
1-1 @ 8.34% (0.937 0.94)
2-2 @ 5.59% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-0 @ 3.11% (0.685 0.69)
3-3 @ 1.66% (-0.248 -0.25)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 19.02%
1-2 @ 9.63% (0.387 0.39)
0-2 @ 8.3% (0.73 0.73)
1-3 @ 7.41% (-0.28 -0.28)
0-1 @ 7.19% (1.125 1.13)
0-3 @ 6.39% (0.089 0.09)
2-3 @ 4.3% (-0.395 -0.4)
1-4 @ 4.28% (-0.522 -0.52)
0-4 @ 3.69% (-0.244 -0.24)
2-4 @ 2.48% (-0.448 -0.45)
1-5 @ 1.98% (-0.421 -0.42)
0-5 @ 1.7% (-0.26 -0.26)
2-5 @ 1.15% (-0.317 -0.32)
3-4 @ 0.96% (-0.233 -0.23)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 63.08%

Head to Head
Dec 17, 2023 6.45pm
Gameweek 10
Aston Villa
1-0
Brighton Women
Leon (63')
Pacheco (80'), Leon (87')
Pacheco (89')

Losada (36'), Symonds (40')
Feb 12, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 1
Brighton Women
2-6
Aston Villa
Zigiotti-Olme (3'), Carter (49' pen.)
Staniforth (15'), Hanson (17'), Nobbs (23', 43', 69'), Daly (36')
Feb 4, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 13
Aston Villa
1-1
Brighton Women
Green (33' og.)
Zigiotti-Olme (74')
Mar 5, 2022 11.30am
Sep 26, 2021 2pm
rhs 2.0
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