MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 05:16:31| >> :600:660657:660657:
Women's Champions League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Mar 19, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Da Tapadinha

Benfica
1 - 2
Lyon

Faria (43')
Ucheibe (66'), Alves (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Cascarino (63'), Dabritz (79')
Bacha (32'), Cascarino (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Women's Champions League clash between Benfica Women and Lyon Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Benfica 4-4 Barcelona
Wednesday, January 31 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
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Last Game: Lyon 2-2 Slavia Prague
Wednesday, January 31 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
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We said: Benfica Women 1-2 Lyon Women

Benfica proved in their 4-4 draw with Barcelona that they can go toe-to-toe with the best teams in Europe, but while that result may inspire confidence among the home squad, we think that they could be edged out by a Lyon side that has won 11 of their 12 away matches this term. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon Women win with a probability of 67.14%. A win for Benfica Women had a probability of 16.97% and a draw had a probability of 15.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.55%) and 2-3 (5.57%). The likeliest Benfica Women win was 2-1 (3.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Lyon Women in this match.

Result
Benfica WomenDrawLyon Women
16.97% (-0.052 -0.05) 15.88% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 67.14% (0.064000000000007 0.06)
Both teams to score 72.99% (-0.070000000000007 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
81.46% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)18.54% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
64.02% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)35.98% (0.055 0.05)
Benfica Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.14% (-0.074999999999989 -0.07)22.85% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.41% (-0.11 -0.11)56.58% (0.11 0.11)
Lyon Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.61%5.38% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
78.88%21.11% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Score Analysis
    Benfica Women 16.97%
    Lyon Women 67.14%
    Draw 15.88%
Benfica WomenDrawLyon Women
2-1 @ 3.92% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.82% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.93% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-0 @ 1.82% (0.002 0)
2-0 @ 1.34% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-3 @ 1.01% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 16.97%
2-2 @ 5.72% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-1 @ 5.31% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 2.74% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-0 @ 1.23% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 15.88%
1-2 @ 7.75% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 7.55% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 5.57% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-4 @ 5.52% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.25% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 5.12% (0.017 0.02)
2-4 @ 4.07% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 3.74% (0.012 0.01)
0-1 @ 3.59% (0.011 0.01)
1-5 @ 3.22% (0.004 0)
2-5 @ 2.38% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-5 @ 2.18% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-4 @ 2% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-6 @ 1.57% (0.002 0)
3-5 @ 1.17% (-0.004 -0)
2-6 @ 1.16% (-0.002 -0)
0-6 @ 1.06% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 4.24%
Total : 67.14%

How you voted: Benfica vs Lyon

Benfica Women
16.7%
Draw
13.9%
Lyon Women
69.4%
36
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
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1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256


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