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Women's Champions League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Mar 27, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Groupama OL Training Center

Lyon
4 - 1
Benfica

Cascarino (43', 51'), Diani (90+1', 90+6')
Dabritz (29'), Dumornay (81')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Alidou (45')
Ucheibe (59'), Amado (62'), Araujo (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Women's Champions League clash between Lyon Women and Benfica Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Benfica 1-2 Lyon
Tuesday, March 19 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Benfica 1-2 Lyon
Tuesday, March 19 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
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We said: Lyon Women 3-0 Benfica Women

Benfica offered a valiant fight in last week's first leg in Lisbon, but we think that they may struggle to trouble Lyon in their own stadium, which is why we believe that the record Champions League winners will cruise to a comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon Women win with a probability of 54.5%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Benfica Women had a probability of 21.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Benfica Women win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon Women would win this match.

Result
Lyon WomenDrawBenfica Women
54.5% (0.454 0.45) 23.72% (0.13 0.13) 21.78% (-0.586 -0.59)
Both teams to score 52.08% (-1.183 -1.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.45% (-1.193 -1.19)48.54% (1.191 1.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.33% (-1.096 -1.1)70.66% (1.094 1.09)
Lyon Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.29% (-0.27199999999999 -0.27)17.7% (0.27 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.64% (-0.473 -0.47)48.35% (0.472 0.47)
Benfica Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.28% (-1.226 -1.23)36.71% (1.225 1.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.49% (-1.249 -1.25)73.5% (1.247 1.25)
Score Analysis
    Lyon Women 54.49%
    Benfica Women 21.78%
    Draw 23.71%
Lyon WomenDrawBenfica Women
1-0 @ 11.25% (0.45 0.45)
2-1 @ 9.76% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.74% (0.303 0.3)
3-1 @ 5.64% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-0 @ 5.62% (0.126 0.13)
3-2 @ 2.82% (-0.127 -0.13)
4-1 @ 2.44% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-0 @ 2.43% (0.033 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 54.49%
1-1 @ 11.27% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 6.5% (0.313 0.31)
2-2 @ 4.89% (-0.174 -0.17)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.71%
0-1 @ 6.51% (0.104 0.1)
1-2 @ 5.65% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-2 @ 3.26% (-0.057 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.89% (-0.115 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.63% (-0.115 -0.12)
0-3 @ 1.09% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 21.78%

How you voted: Lyon vs Benfica

Lyon Women
85.7%
Draw
9.5%
Benfica Women
4.8%
21
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2024 8pm
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Benfica
1-2
Lyon
Faria (43')
Ucheibe (66'), Alves (90+3')
Cascarino (63'), Dabritz (79')
Bacha (32'), Cascarino (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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