Women's Champions League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Mar 27, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Groupama OL Training Center
Lyon4 - 1Benfica
Form, Standings, Stats
We said: Lyon Women 3-0 Benfica Women
Benfica offered a valiant fight in last week's first leg in Lisbon, but we think that they may struggle to trouble Lyon in their own stadium, which is why we believe that the record Champions League winners will cruise to a comfortable victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon Women win with a probability of 54.5%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Benfica Women had a probability of 21.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Benfica Women win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon Women would win this match.
Result | ||
Lyon Women | Draw | Benfica Women |
54.5% ( 0.45) | 23.72% ( 0.13) | 21.78% ( -0.59) |
Both teams to score 52.08% ( -1.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.45% ( -1.19) | 48.54% ( 1.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.33% ( -1.1) | 70.66% ( 1.09) |
Lyon Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.29% ( -0.27) | 17.7% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.64% ( -0.47) | 48.35% ( 0.47) |
Benfica Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.28% ( -1.23) | 36.71% ( 1.23) |