Women's Champions League | Group Stage

Jan 25, 2024 at 8pm UK

NV ARENA

St Polten
0 - 7
Lyon

Touon (35')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Hegerberg (21', 35'), Dabritz (22', 87'), Gilles (55'), Marozsan (79'), Diani (83')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Women's Champions League Group Stage clash between St Polten Women and Lyon Women.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Polten Women

Last Game: Slavia Prague 1-0 St Polten
Thursday, January 18 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League

Lyon Women

Last Game: Brann 2-2 Lyon
Thursday, December 21 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon Women win with a probability of 58.61%. A win for St Polten Women had a probability of 22.07% and a draw had a probability of 19.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.12%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest St Polten Women win was 2-1 (5.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-7 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon Women would win this match.

Result
St Polten Women	Draw	Lyon Women
22.07% ( 0.24)	19.32% ( 0)	58.61% ( -0.25)

Both teams to score 68.24% (

0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.37% (

0.3)

27.63% (

-0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

51.73% (

0.37)

48.28% (

-0.37)

St Polten Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.43% (

0.36)

24.57% (

-0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.94% (

0.51)

59.06% (

-0.51)

Lyon Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.48% (

0.03)

9.52% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.08% (

0.07)

31.92% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

St Polten Women 22.07%

Lyon Women 58.61%

Draw 19.32%

St Polten Women	Draw	Lyon Women
2-1 @ 5.42% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 3.29% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 2.54% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.42% Total : 22.07%	1-1 @ 7.72% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.37% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.55% Total : 19.32%	1-2 @ 9.08% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 7.12% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.47% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 5.5% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 5.07% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 4.99% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 4.18% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.98% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 2.94% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 1.97% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.4% ( -0.02) 2-5 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) 3-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.03) Other @ 4.15% Total : 58.61%