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Willem II
Eredivisie | Gameweek 26
Mar 13, 2021 at 3.30pm UK
Koning Willem II Stadion
Heerenveen

Willem II
3 - 1
Heerenveen

Holmen (28'), Okyere Wriedt (55'), Nunnely (58')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Veerman (73')
Veerman (59')

Preview: Willem II vs. Heerenveen - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Willem II and Heerenveen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Having gone unbeaten in their last three league games, Willem II welcome Heerenveen to Tilburg on Saturday aiming to take another step towards escaping from relegation.

The away side come into this one in search of a league double over their hosts, who they beat 2-0 when the teams met in September's reverse fixture at the Abe Lenstra Stadion.


Match preview

Willem II made it consecutive away games without losing courtesy of a 1-1 draw against eighth-placed Twente at the Grolsch Veste Stadion on Saturday.

The match was level at half time, but it was the hosts who were in the ascendancy as they went close to taking the lead on multiple occasions, while also restricting their visitors to no shots on target.

Eventually, the pressure paid off as Twente took the lead four minutes after the hour mark through Jesse Bosch before Vangelis Pavlidis hit back with his seventh goal of the season to even the contest.

Zeljko Petrovic has done relatively well since his appointment in January having lost just two of his first six games in charge, picking up eight points in that time.

As a result, the Tricolores are now just four points from safety as they continue to bear down on VVV-Venlo, whose recent form has been woeful to say the least.

Heerenveen ended a run of three league games without a victory courtesy of a 3-0 thrashing of second-bottom ADO Den Haag on Saturday.

De Superfriezen started on the front foot and they took the lead inside the opening 10 minutes through Siem de Jong's second goal of the campaign.

Second-half goals from Henk Veerman and Joey Veerman wrapped up a comprehensive win for Johnny Jansen's men, who have moved up into ninth place on the log.

Saturday's visitors have won their last two league encounters away at the hosts, and they will be confident of making it three in a row.

Willem II Eredivisie form:
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • D

Heerenveen Eredivisie form:
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • W

Heerenveen form (all competitions):
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • W


Team News

Dries Saddiki remains out for this one as he steps up his recovery from a muscle tear which he sustained over six weeks ago.

Joining him on the list of absentees for Saturday's hosts is Miquel Nelom, whose season has been prematurely ended with a knee injury.

Freek Heerkens will also miss the game as he remains out with a thigh problem through which he has missed his side's last eight games.

Ulysses Llanez is the visitors' only unavailable player for the game as he works his way back to full fitness after he was recently sidelined with a muscle strain.

Johnny Jansen will be expected not to make too many changes to his XI after the team he named last time out emphatically returned to winning ways.

Willem II possible starting lineup:
Brondeel; Kohn, Peters, Holmen, Owusu; Kohlert, Selahi, Spieringhs, Nunnely; Pavlidis, Okyere Wriedt

Heerenveen possible starting lineup:
Mulder; Kaib, Bochniewicz, Dresevic, Floranus; Veerman, Halilovic, De Jong; Nygren, Van Bergen, Veerman


SM words green background

We say: Willem II 1-1 Heerenveen

Willem II seem to have turned a corner since suffering two heavy defeats in the middle of February, while Heerenveen have had mixed results since the turn of the year. We expect a close affair between the sides, and a stalemate in the end.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 37.72%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 37.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.91%) and 2-0 (5.77%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-2 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.


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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV16140256134342
2Ajax17123237162139
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7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard166462023-322
9NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
10Heerenveen176381731-1421
11Willem II165471718-119
12NECNijmegen165292220217
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
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