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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 16
Dec 10, 2021 at 8pm UK
Park Avenue
Newtown logo

Aberystwyth
2 - 4
Newtown

Phillips (51'), Davies (89')
Veale (22'), Jenkins (38')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Rushton (4', 18', 68'), Davies (76')
(77')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Newtown AFC.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 51.99%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 24.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.1%) and 0-2 (8.22%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.

Result
Aberystwyth TownDrawNewtown AFC
24.91%23.09%51.99%
Both teams to score 57.95%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.42%42.58%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.02%64.98%
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.34%30.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.09%66.91%
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.57%16.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.9%46.1%
Score Analysis
    Aberystwyth Town 24.91%
    Newtown AFC 51.99%
    Draw 23.09%
Aberystwyth TownDrawNewtown AFC
2-1 @ 6.36%
1-0 @ 5.95%
2-0 @ 3.52%
3-1 @ 2.51%
3-2 @ 2.26%
3-0 @ 1.39%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 24.91%
1-1 @ 10.75%
2-2 @ 5.74%
0-0 @ 5.04%
3-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.09%
1-2 @ 9.71%
0-1 @ 9.1%
0-2 @ 8.22%
1-3 @ 5.85%
0-3 @ 4.95%
2-3 @ 3.46%
1-4 @ 2.64%
0-4 @ 2.23%
2-4 @ 1.56%
1-5 @ 0.95%
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 51.99%

Head to Head
Sep 17, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Newtown
1-2
Aberystwyth
Roberts (50')
Mills-Evans (76'), Arsan (76'), Roberts (84')
Veale (36'), Evans (86')
Rimmer (5'), Phillips (41'), Evans (76'), Jones (77'), Davies (86')
May 15, 2021 12pm
Gameweek 6
Newtown
0-4
Aberystwyth

Steventon (23'), O'Neill (58'), McAllister (75')
Jones (23' pen.), Evans (47'), Jones (50'), Franklin (84')
Jenkins (37')
Apr 9, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Aberystwyth
1-2
Newtown
Williams (40')
Franklin (27')
Ofori (74'), Evans (90+3')
Fletcher (44'), Edwards (45+2')
Mar 20, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 12
Aberystwyth
1-0
Newtown
Franklin (78')
Bradford (36'), Jones (43'), Franklin (83'), Owen (90+1')

O'Neill (1'), Ofori (37'), Fletcher (41')
Ofori (54')
Sep 25, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont17114234122237
2The New SaintsNew Saints16120445192636
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest178632081230
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU178452620628
5Barry Town UnitedBarry167452528-325
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon167362324-124
7Bala TownBala Town1741032218422
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay165472018219
9Newtown AFCNewtown165472133-1219
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1742112035-1514
11Briton Ferry1632111932-1311
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1731131442-2810


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