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Dynamo Kiev
Europa League | Round of 16
Mar 11, 2021 at 5.55pm UK
NSK Olimpijs'kyj
Villarreal logo

Dynamo Kiev
0 - 2
Villarreal


Sydorchuk (9')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Torres (30'), Albiol (52')
Pedraza (24'), Capoue (65')

Preview: Dynamo Kiev vs. Villarreal - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Dynamo Kiev and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Villarreal continue their quest to win this season's Europa League with a last-16 tie against Ukrainian giants Dynamo Kiev.

The visitors head into Thursday's first leg having eased past Red Bull Salzburg, while Kiev got the better of Club Brugge at the last-32 stage.


Match preview

Dynamo Kiev manager Mircea Lucescu pictured on November 4, 2020© Reuters

Having breezed through to this stage of the competition, few teams would have wanted to be paired with Villarreal when the draw was made last month.

However, despite going eight matches without defeat on the European scene, Villarreal have failed to win during the same amount of games in La Liga.

The Yellow Submarine are now at risk of missing out on continental football for next season, heaping the pressure on Unai Emery ahead of this two-legged tie.

While Villarreal are fancied to progress past their next opponents, it has been 13 matches since they last scored more than two goals in a game.

Emery's side also need to recover from their late capitulation at Valencia on Saturday with two goals during the closing five minutes condemning them to a 2-1 defeat.

In sharp contrast to Villarreal, Kiev have been on an upward trajectory since returning from the winter break, going seven games without defeat in all competitions.

Their latest success, a 3-0 win over lowly Minai, maintained their four-point advantage over Shakhtar Donetsk in the Ukrainian top flight.

Mircea Lucescu's priority will be claiming the club's first league title in 2016, but he will be increasingly confident of an extended run in this competition after their 2-1 aggregate triumph over Club Brugge.

Vitaliy Buyalskyi netted both of Kiev's goals during that tie, taking his tally to the campaign to five in all competitions.

Dynamo Kiev Europa League form:
  • D
  • W

Dynamo Kiev form (all competitions):
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W

Villarreal Europa League form:
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W

Villarreal form (all competitions):
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • L


Team News

Villarreal manager Unai Emery pictured in December 2020© Reuters

Like in previous European matches, Emery is expected make several alterations to his Villarreal starting lineup.

Geronimo Rulli, Jaume Costa and Manu Trigueros are expected to be among the players who are drafted into the team.

Alberto Moreno, Francis Coquelin and Vicente Iborra all remain on the sidelines through injury.

Lucescu continues to be without a number of his key men due to injury, including Denys Popov and Viktor Tsygankov.

Volodymyr Shepelev and Gerson Rodrigues may return to the Kiev XI after featuring off the substitutes' bench in the last match.

Dynamo Kiev possible starting lineup:
Bushchan; Kedziora, Syrota, Zabarnyi, Mykolenko; Shaparenko, Sydorchuk, Shepelev, Rodrigues; Buyakskyi; Besedin

Villarreal possible starting lineup:
Rulli; Costa, Albiol, Torres, Estupinan; Trigueros, Parejo, Capoue, Pedraza; Alcacer, Moreno


SM words green background

We say: Dynamo Kiev 1-2 Villarreal

Despite their away win in the last round, Kiev know that they can ill-afford a setback on home territory this time around. However, that will only increase the pressure on the Ukrainian side, potentially allowing the visitors to take full advantage on Thursday night.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 37.79%. A win for Dynamo Kiev had a probability of 35.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Dynamo Kiev win was 1-0 (9.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Dynamo Kiev vs Villarreal

Dynamo Kiev
26.6%
Draw
21.4%
Villarreal
52.0%
350
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