MX23RW : Thursday, June 27 20:42:37| >> :300:86500:86500:
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 3
Jun 22, 2024 at 9pm UK
Estadio Centenario
Penarol

Progreso
P-P
Penarol


Garcia (44'), Cardozo (45+1'), Cabrera (84'), Fernandez (85')
Gonzalez (61'), Fernandez (90+1')
Sequeira (69'), Rodriguez (81'), Cabrera (85')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Progreso and Penarol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Defensor 1-1 Progreso
Sunday, June 16 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Penarol 1-1 Racing
Sunday, June 16 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 48.43%. A win for Progreso had a probability of 25.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (8.87%). The likeliest Progreso win was 1-0 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
ProgresoDrawPenarol
25.99% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02) 25.58% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 48.43% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.98% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.73% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)52.26% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.03% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)73.96% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Progreso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.02% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)34.98% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.28% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)71.72% (0.01700000000001 0.02)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.4% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)21.59% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.31% (0.009999999999998 0.01)54.69% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Progreso 25.99%
    Penarol 48.42%
    Draw 25.58%
ProgresoDrawPenarol
1-0 @ 7.93% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-1 @ 6.39% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-0 @ 4.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 2.24% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 1.71% (-0.002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.46% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 25.99%
1-1 @ 12.16%
0-0 @ 7.55% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.9% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 25.58%
0-1 @ 11.57%
1-2 @ 9.32% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 8.87% (0.004999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 4.76% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 4.53% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.5% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.83% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.74% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 48.42%

Head to Head
May 24, 2024 12am
Gameweek 14
Penarol
3-1
Progreso
Coelho (59', 70'), Hernandez (90+2')
Sosa (54'), Coelho (66'), Gonzalez (72')
Gianoli (44' og.)
Poiso (40'), Marta (63'), Piegas (78'), Silvera (83')
Nov 25, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 14
Progreso
0-0
Penarol
Fuerte (29'), Viera (47'), Formento (56'), Barboza (63'), Romero (76')
Gonzalez (51'), Elizalde (53'), Gargano (67'), Laquintana (71'), Musto (90+1')
Aug 14, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 14
Penarol
1-0
Progreso
Alvarez (81')
Nahuelpan (42')

Barboza (14'), Bentaberry (34'), Arias (62'), Ferreira (89')
Mar 25, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 14
Progreso
0-2
Penarol

Alejandro Gallardo Gonzalez (52'), Loffreda (89')
Kagelmacher (45+2'), A (59')
Oct 6, 2020 10pm
Gameweek 14
Penarol
2-1
Progreso
Formiliano (56'), Gonzalez (69')
Piquerez (71'), Alvarez (84')
Alvarez (90+1')
Alles (84' pen.)
Loffreda (33'), Andrada (55'), Marta (85'), Platero (88')
Andrada (62')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Saturday, June 29
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 30
 
5pm
 
8pm
Monday, July 1
 
5pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, July 2
 
5pm
 
8pm
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania41215
Q Slovakia Slovakia41215
Q Belgium Belgium31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!