Under-20s World Cup | Group Stage

May 20, 2023 at 7pm UK

Estadio San Juan del Bicentenario

USA U20s
1 - 0
Ecuador U20s

Gomez (90+2')
Wynder (56')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Angulo (83')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Under-20s World Cup Group Stage clash between USA Under-20s and Ecuador Under-20s.

Form, Standings, Stats

USA Under-20s

Last Game: USA U20s 2-1 Japan U20s
Monday, March 25 at 11am in International Friendlies

Ecuador Under-20s

Last Game: Bolivia U20s 0-4 Ecuador U20s
Sunday, November 18 at 2pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA Under-20s win with a probability of 46.94%. A win for Ecuador Under-20s had a probability of 29.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA Under-20s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Ecuador Under-20s win was 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that USA Under-20s would win this match.

Result
USA Under-20s	Draw	Ecuador Under-20s
46.94% ( 2.2)	23.75% ( -0.16)	29.3% ( -2.04)

Both teams to score 59.49% (

-0.64)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.75% (

-0.32)

42.24% (

0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.35% (

-0.32)

64.65% (

0.32)

USA Under-20s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.79% (

0.77)

18.2% (

-0.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.79% (

1.3)

49.21% (

-1.3)

Ecuador Under-20s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.73% (

-1.48)

27.26% (

1.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.3% (

-1.96)

62.69% (

1.96)

Score Analysis

USA Under-20s 46.94%

Ecuador Under-20s 29.3%

Draw 23.75%

USA Under-20s	Draw	Ecuador Under-20s
2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.2) 1-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.32) 2-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.44) 3-1 @ 5.32% ( 0.24) 3-0 @ 4.09% ( 0.35) 3-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.26% ( 0.16) 4-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.19) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.6% Total : 46.94%	1-1 @ 10.98% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.75%	1-2 @ 7.14% ( -0.33) 0-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.3) 1-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.28) 2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.21) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.97% Total : 29.3%