European Under-19s Championship | Group Stage
Jul 21, 2024 at 7pm UK
Inver Park
Form, Standings, Stats
European Under-19s Championship
We said: Ukraine Under-19s 1-1 Italy Under-19s
Ukraine should finally get off the mark with a goal, as impressive Italy may be distracted by their upcoming semi-final.
However, that might not be quite enough to go through: a low-scoring draw would leave the Ukrainians needing Norway to draw with Northern Ireland in the other Group A game, which will be played concurrently over in Belfast.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Under-19s win with a probability of 59.66% . A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Ukraine Under-19s had a probability of 19.04% .
The most likely scoreline for a Italy Under-19s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.95% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.63%) and 0-2 (9.61%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%) , while for a Ukraine Under-19s win it was 2-1 (5.16%) . The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood .
Result Ukraine Under-19s Draw Italy Under-19s 19.04% ( -6.2) 21.29% ( -1.64) 59.66% ( 7.83)
Both teams to score 55.72% ( -3.14)
58.39% ( -0.08) 41.61% ( 0.07)
35.99% ( -0.08) 64.01% ( 0.07)
64.48% ( -5.68) 35.52% ( 5.67)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 27.71% ( -6.36) 72.28% ( 6.34)
86.41% ( 2.52) 13.58% ( -2.53)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 59.31% ( 4.82) 40.69% ( -4.83)
Ukraine Under-19s 19.04%
Italy Under-19s 59.66%
Draw 21.29%
Ukraine Under-19s Draw Italy Under-19s 2-1 @ 5.16% ( -1.26) 1-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.82) 2-0 @ 2.58% ( -0.93) 3-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.81) 3-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.58) Other @ 2.75% Total : 19.04% 1-1 @ 9.97% ( -0.64) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.71) 0-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.25) Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.29% 1-2 @ 9.95% ( 0.26) 0-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.85) 0-2 @ 9.61% ( 1.6) 1-3 @ 6.62% ( 0.73) 0-3 @ 6.4% ( 1.52) 2-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.14) 1-4 @ 3.31% ( 0.62) 0-4 @ 3.19% ( 0.97) 2-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.08) 1-5 @ 1.32% ( 0.34) 0-5 @ 1.28% ( 0.46) Other @ 3.21% Total : 59.66%
How you voted: Ukraine U19s vs Italy U19s
Ukraine Under-19s
Draw
Italy Under-19s
8
rhs 2.0
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