Taca de Portugal | Third Round
Oct 22, 2023 at 3pm UK
Estadio dos Barreiros
Maritimo4 - 1Mortagua
Bica (7'), Xadas (17' pen.), Tavares (72'), Platiny (85' pen.)
FT(HT: 2-0)
Pais (51')
Bastos (53'), Mane Pape (68'), Jackie (87')
Bastos (53'), Mane Pape (68'), Jackie (87')
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Third Round clash between Maritimo and Mortagua.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Vizela 2-1 Maritimo
Saturday, July 22 at 3.30pm in Taca da Liga
Saturday, July 22 at 3.30pm in Taca da Liga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 77.62%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Mortagua had a probability of 7.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.91%) and 1-0 (10.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.92%), while for a Mortagua win it was 0-1 (2.73%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maritimo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Maritimo | Draw | Mortagua |
77.62% ( -0.26) | 14.56% ( 0.14) | 7.82% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 45.35% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
