Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vicenza win with a probability of 45.74%. A win for Virtus Entella had a probability of 27.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vicenza win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (8.59%). The likeliest Virtus Entella win was 1-0 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vicenza would win this match.