Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 46.2%. A win for Vicenza had a probability of 27.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (8.56%). The likeliest Vicenza win was 1-0 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Empoli would win this match.