Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 36.66%. A win for Vicenza had a probability of 35.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.9%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Vicenza win was 1-0 (10.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
