Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 37.95%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 32.93% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.68%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 0-1 (11.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cremonese would win this match.