Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 37.77%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 35.2% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 1-0 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Venezia would win this match.
