Ternana

1 - 2

Cittadella

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ternana win with a probability of 37.5%. A win for Cittadella had a probability of 34.5% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ternana win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.93%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Cittadella win was 0-1 (10.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.