Serie B | Gameweek 28
Mar 5, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Paolo Mazza
SPAL2 - 1Cittadella
Coverage of the Serie B clash between SPAL and Cittadella.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: SPAL 0-2 Frosinone
Wednesday, March 1 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Wednesday, March 1 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Cittadella 0-0 Brescia
Wednesday, March 1 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Wednesday, March 1 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SPAL win with a probability of 42.09%. A win for Cittadella had a probability of 31.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a SPAL win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Cittadella win was 0-1 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SPAL would win this match.
Result | ||
SPAL | Draw | Cittadella |
42.09% ( -0.5) | 26.75% ( -0.11) | 31.17% ( 0.61) |
Both teams to score 50.67% ( 0.58) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.79% ( 0.62) | 54.21% ( -0.62) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.38% ( 0.52) | 75.62% ( -0.51) |
SPAL Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.55% ( 0.02) | 25.45% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.72% ( 0.03) | 60.28% ( -0.03) |
Cittadella Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.97% ( 0.76) | 32.04% ( -0.75) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.5% ( 0.85) | 68.5% ( -0.85) |
Score Analysis |
SPAL 42.08%
Cittadella 31.17%
Draw 26.74%
SPAL | Draw | Cittadella |
1-0 @ 11.15% ( -0.27) 2-1 @ 8.69% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.63% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 3.96% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.36% Total : 42.08% | 1-1 @ 12.7% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.15% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.74% | 0-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.23% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 2% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.75% Total : 31.17% |
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 1pm
Cittadella
0-0
SPAL
La Mantia (15')
Mar 2, 2022 5.30pm
SPAL
0-0
Cittadella
Meccariello (42'), Esposito (69'), Pinato (76')
Visentin (20'), Perticone (48'), Tavernelli (90')
Oct 17, 2021 7.30pm
Mar 20, 2021 5pm
Dec 12, 2020 5pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | SassuoloSassuolo | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 43 |
2 | SpeziaSpezia | 18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 28 | 10 | 18 | 37 |
3 | Pisa | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 37 |
4 | Juve StabiaJuve Stabia | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 28 |
5 | Cremonese | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 26 |
6 | Cesena | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 25 |
7 | BariBari | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 24 |
8 | CatanzaroCatanzaro | 18 | 4 | 11 | 3 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 23 |
9 | Modena | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 23 |
10 | Carrarese | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 23 |
11 | Mantova | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 22 |
12 | Palermo | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 21 |
13 | Brescia | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 21 |
14 | Sampdoria | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 19 |
15 | Reggiana | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 18 |
16 | Salernitana | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 18 |
17 | SudtirolSudtirol | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 17 |
18 | Cittadella | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 30 | -17 | 17 |
19 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 16 |
20 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
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