Coverage of the Serie B clash between Perugia and Ascoli.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Brescia 2-1 Perugia
Saturday, September 3 at 1pm in Serie B
Saturday, September 3 at 1pm in Serie B
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Como | 4 | -3 | 2 |
| 19 | Pisa | 4 | -3 | 1 |
| 20 | Perugia | 4 | -5 | 1 |
Last Game: Ascoli 0-0 Cittadella
Saturday, September 3 at 1pm in Serie B
Saturday, September 3 at 1pm in Serie B
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Brescia | 4 | 1 | 9 |
| 4 | Ascoli | 4 | 2 | 8 |
| 5 | Genoa | 5 | 1 | 8 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perugia win with a probability of 41.04%. A win for Ascoli had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perugia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Ascoli win was 0-1 (10.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Perugia in this match.
| Result | ||
| Perugia | Draw | Ascoli |
41.04% ( 0.43) | 28.55% ( 0.07) | 30.4% ( -0.5) |
| Both teams to score 45.16% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
