Palermo

3 - 2

Cremonese

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 40.03%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 33.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palermo would win this match.