Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 42.28%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Pisa had a probability of 28.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.47%) and 2-1 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.22%), while for a Pisa win it was 0-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Modena would win this match.