Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 41.03%. A win for Ascoli had a probability of 33.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Ascoli win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
Modena	Draw	Ascoli
41.03% ( -0.01)	25.85% ( -0.02)	33.12% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 54.19% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.01% (

0.11)

49.98% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.03% (

0.1)

71.96% (

-0.1)

Modena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.9% (

0.04)

24.1% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.61% (

0.06)

58.39% (

-0.06)

Ascoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.4% (

0.07)

28.6% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.6% (

0.09)

64.4% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Modena 41.03%

Ascoli 33.12%

Draw 25.84%

Modena	Draw	Ascoli
1-0 @ 9.81% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.74% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.98% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.14% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.31% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.47% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.18% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.89% Total : 41.03%	1-1 @ 12.27% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.89% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.84%	0-1 @ 8.63% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.68% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.4% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.25% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 2.66% Total : 33.12%