Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 44.6%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 28.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.