Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 57.37%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Como had a probability of 19.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Como win it was 0-1 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cremonese would win this match.