Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 36.55%. A win for Pordenone Calcio had a probability of 35.7% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.87%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Pordenone Calcio win was 0-1 (10.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.