Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 39.64%. A win for Benevento had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Benevento win was 1-2 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hellas Verona would win this match.