Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 32

Jul 11, 2020 at 6.30pm UK

Stadio Mario Rigamonti

Brescia
0 - 3
Roma

Tonali (9')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Fazio (48'), Kalinic (62'), Zaniolo (74')
Peres (61'), Perotti (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Brescia and Roma, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 57.5%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Brescia had a probability of 21.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.75%) and 0-2 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for a Brescia win it was 2-1 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
Brescia	Draw	Roma
21.03%	21.46%	57.5%

Both teams to score 58.51%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.49%

39.51%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.15%

61.85%

Brescia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.68%

32.32%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.17%

68.83%

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.45%

13.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.37%

40.63%

Score Analysis

Brescia 21.03%

Roma 57.5%

Draw 21.46%

Brescia	Draw	Roma
2-1 @ 5.58% 1-0 @ 4.95% 2-0 @ 2.79% 3-1 @ 2.1% 3-2 @ 2.1% 3-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.46% Total : 21.03%	1-1 @ 9.89% 2-2 @ 5.58% 0-0 @ 4.38% 3-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.46%	1-2 @ 9.88% 0-1 @ 8.75% 0-2 @ 8.75% 1-3 @ 6.58% 0-3 @ 5.83% 2-3 @ 3.72% 1-4 @ 3.29% 0-4 @ 2.91% 2-4 @ 1.86% 1-5 @ 1.32% 0-5 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.45% Total : 57.5%