Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ponferradina win with a probability of 38.71%. A win for Huesca had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ponferradina win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.67%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Huesca win was 0-1 (11.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.