Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 49.91%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Mirandes had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.72%) and 2-1 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Mirandes win it was 0-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.