Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirandes win with a probability of 38.84%. A win for Malaga had a probability of 30.9% and a draw had a probability of 30.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mirandes win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.81%) and 1-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Malaga win was 1-0 (12.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
