Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 41.79%. A win for Villarreal II had a probability of 29.64% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.21%) and 2-1 (8.18%). The likeliest Villarreal II win was 0-1 (10.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Leganes in this match.

Result
Leganes	Draw	Villarreal II
41.79% ( -0.43)	28.57% ( 0.37)	29.64% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 44.82% (

-0.96)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.7% (

-1.22)

61.3% (

1.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.78% (

-0.92)

81.22% (

0.92)

Leganes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.05% (

-0.83)

28.94% (

0.83)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.17% (

-1.03)

64.83% (

1.04)

Villarreal II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.08% (

-0.61)

36.92% (

0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.29% (

-0.62)

73.71% (

0.62)

Score Analysis

Leganes 41.78%

Villarreal II 29.64%

Draw 28.56%

Leganes	Draw	Villarreal II
1-0 @ 13.24% ( 0.29) 2-0 @ 8.21% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.18% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 3.38% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.58% Total : 41.78%	1-1 @ 13.2% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 10.68% ( 0.48) 2-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.56%	0-1 @ 10.64% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 6.58% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 5.3% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.82% Total : 29.64%