Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 37.41%. A win for Castellon had a probability of 31.68% and a draw had a probability of 30.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.53%) and 1-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Castellon win was 1-0 (12.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Tenerife in this match.