Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirandes win with a probability of 40.48%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 29.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mirandes win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.17%) and 1-2 (7.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.37%), while for a Cartagena win it was 1-0 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mirandes would win this match.