Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 37.8%. A win for Burgos had a probability of 31.78% and a draw had a probability of 30.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.56%) and 1-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Burgos win was 1-0 (12.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.