Copa del Rey | Round of 32
Jan 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Butarque
Leganes2 - 3Real Sociedad
We said: Leganes 0-2 Real Sociedad
Leganes actually won the most recent encounter between these two sides back in February 2020, but that is a result that appears unlikely to be repeated on this occasion. Whilst La Real's recent league form has been inconsistent, they have been performing very well in cup competitions and will surely have too much for a struggling second-tier team. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 45.87%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 26.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.11%) and 1-2 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.86%), while for a Leganes win it was 1-0 (9.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leganes | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 26.47% | 27.66% | 45.87% |
| Both teams to score 45.46% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
