Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 75.96%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Aberdeen had a probability of 9.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.19%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.58%), while for an Aberdeen win it was 1-2 (2.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.
Result | ||
Rangers | Draw | Aberdeen |
75.96% ( -0.32) | 14.46% ( 0.18) | 9.58% ( 0.15) |
Both teams to score 54.49% ( -0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.47% ( -0.44) | 30.53% ( 0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.18% ( -0.53) | 51.82% ( 0.54) |
Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.34% ( -0.15) | 6.66% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
75.3% ( -0.43) | 24.7% ( 0.43) |
Aberdeen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.37% ( -0.04) | 41.63% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.89% ( -0.04) | 78.11% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Rangers | Draw | Aberdeen |
2-0 @ 10.17% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 9.19% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 8.05% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.51% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 5.45% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 2.96% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.03) 6-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.04) 6-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.04) 5-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.03) Other @ 4.05% Total : 75.96% | 1-1 @ 6.58% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 14.46% | 1-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 2.43% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.14% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.07% Total : 9.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 35 | 4 | 31 | 34 |
2 | Aberdeen | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 23 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 20 |
5 | Motherwell | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 18 |
7 | Dundee | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 15 |
8 | Ross County | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 15 |
9 | St Johnstone | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 13 |
10 | Kilmarnock | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 12 |
11 | Hearts | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |