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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 17
Dec 4, 2021 at 3pm UK
Pittodrie Stadium
St Mirren logo

Aberdeen
4 - 1
St Mirren

Watkins (7', 43'), Ramirez (9', 71')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Tanser (42')
Tanser (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Aberdeen and St Mirren, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Aberdeen 2-1 St Mirren

There is little to separate the two teams in the league at the moment and that is something that will likely be reflected in this fixture. However, with the Buddies lacking in confidence due to their poor form as of late, this could be an opportunity for Aberdeen to earn another three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 46.53%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 0-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.

Result
AberdeenDrawSt Mirren
46.53%25.92%27.55%
Both teams to score 51.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.41%52.59%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.75%74.25%
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.42%22.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.82%56.18%
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.11%33.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.44%70.56%
Score Analysis
    Aberdeen 46.53%
    St Mirren 27.55%
    Draw 25.92%
AberdeenDrawSt Mirren
1-0 @ 11.38%
2-1 @ 9.17%
2-0 @ 8.47%
3-1 @ 4.55%
3-0 @ 4.2%
3-2 @ 2.46%
4-1 @ 1.69%
4-0 @ 1.56%
4-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 46.53%
1-1 @ 12.32%
0-0 @ 7.65%
2-2 @ 4.96%
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 25.92%
0-1 @ 8.28%
1-2 @ 6.67%
0-2 @ 4.48%
1-3 @ 2.41%
2-3 @ 1.79%
0-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 27.55%

How you voted: Aberdeen vs St Mirren

Aberdeen
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
St Mirren
0.0%
15
Head to Head
Sep 26, 2021 12pm
Gameweek 7
St Mirren
3-2
Aberdeen
Ronan (14', 58'), Fraser (61')
Fraser (33')
Brown (18'), Ramirez (34')
Jenks (27'), Ferguson (50'), Brown (66'), Ramsey (90+2'), Hayes (90+2')
Jenks (51')
Feb 13, 2021 3pm
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 16
St Mirren
1-1
Aberdeen
McGrath (44' pen.)
Doyle-Hayes (38'), Erhahon (39')
Hayes (37')
Ferguson (5'), Hayes (55')
Ferguson (51')
Nov 28, 2020 5.15pm
Second Round
St Mirren
2-1
Aberdeen
Durmus (4'), McGrath (88')
MacPherson (65'), Doyle-Hayes (87')
McGinn (43')
Considine (53')
Oct 2, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Aberdeen
2-1
St Mirren
Watkins (71'), Ferguson (90+1')
McCrorie (88')
Erhahon (54')
McCarthy (43')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic66002002018
2Aberdeen6600124818
3RangersRangers531194510
4Motherwell631297210
5Dundee UnitedDundee Utd62319729
6St Mirren72231113-28
7Ross County7142712-57
8Dundee61321011-16
9Hibernian512258-35
10St Johnstone7115817-94
11Kilmarnock6033615-93
12Hearts7025412-82


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