Scottish League Two | Gameweek 20
Jan 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
Station Park
Forfar2 - 1Elgin
Coverage of the Scottish League Two clash between Forfar Athletic and Elgin City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Stenhousemuir 2-1 Forfar
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Goals
for
for
18
Last Game: Elgin 2-1 Stranraer
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Goals
for
for
15
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forfar Athletic win with a probability of 62.66%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Elgin City had a probability of 16.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forfar Athletic win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.78%), while for a Elgin City win it was 0-1 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Forfar Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Forfar Athletic | Draw | Elgin City |
62.66% ( -0.13) | 20.68% ( 0.03) | 16.65% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 53% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.1% ( 0.03) | 42.89% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.7% ( 0.03) | 65.29% ( -0.03) |
| Forfar Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.9% ( -0.03) | 13.09% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 60.28% ( -0.05) | 39.71% ( 0.05) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.99% ( 0.13) | 39.01% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.26% ( 0.12) | 75.73% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
Forfar Athletic 62.66%
Elgin City 16.65%
Draw 20.68%
| Forfar Athletic | Draw | Elgin City |
| 2-0 @ 10.55% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 10.38% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.15% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.73% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.64% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.61% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.39% ( -0)Other @ 3.19% Total : 62.66% | 1-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.11% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.68% | 0-1 @ 4.81% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.06% Total : 16.65% |
Head to Head
Nov 21, 2023 7.45pm
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Second Round
Elgin
0-0
Forfar
Forfar win 3-2 on penalties
MacEwan (40'), Dolzanski (45')
Munro (88')
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
