Scottish League One | Gameweek 15
Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
Recreation Park
Alloa5 - 1QotS
Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Alloa Athletic and Queen of the South.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Kelty Hearts 1-1 Alloa
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Goals
for
for
25
Last Game: Edinburgh 0-3 QotS
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Goals
for
for
23
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 0-1 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alloa Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Queen of the South |
39.2% ( 0.01) | 26.2% ( -0.01) | 34.6% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 53.38% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.83% ( 0.04) | 51.17% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.98% ( 0.03) | 73.02% ( -0.03) |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.4% ( 0.02) | 25.59% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.52% ( 0.03) | 60.47% ( -0.03) |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.75% ( 0.02) | 28.25% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.03% ( 0.02) | 63.96% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
Alloa Athletic 39.2%
Queen of the South 34.6%
Draw 26.19%
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 1-0 @ 9.85% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.49% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.72% 3-1 @ 3.86% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.05% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.44% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.31% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 2.45% Total : 39.2% | 1-1 @ 12.45% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.23% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.19% | 0-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.87% 0-2 @ 5.78% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.32% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.43% 2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 2.75% Total : 34.6% |
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Feb 6, 2021 3pm
Alloa
2-1
QotS
Jones (8')
Pybus (81')
Pybus (81')
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
Apr 18, 2020 3pm
