MX23RW : Tuesday, November 26 21:11:16| >> :600:845250:845250:
Greenock Morton
Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Cappielow Park
Stranraer

Morton
3 - 0
Stranraer

Baird (22'), Blues (49'), Crawford (73')
Broadfoot (42'), O'Connor (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gallagher (42')
Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Greenock Morton and Stranraer.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kelty Hearts 1-3 Morton
Saturday, July 15 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Stranraer 1-5 Ross County
Saturday, July 15 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 56.51%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Stranraer had a probability of 20.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Stranraer win it was 0-1 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.

Result
Greenock MortonDrawStranraer
56.51% (-0.012 -0.01) 22.85% (0.009999999999998 0.01) 20.65% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Both teams to score 53.22% (-0.032999999999994 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.77% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)46.23% (0.044999999999995 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.47% (-0.044 -0.04)68.53% (0.042999999999992 0.04)
Greenock Morton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.85% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)16.15% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.4% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)45.6% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Stranraer Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.47% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)36.53% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.68% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)73.32% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Greenock Morton 56.5%
    Stranraer 20.65%
    Draw 22.84%
Greenock MortonDrawStranraer
1-0 @ 10.75% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 9.81% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 6% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 5.96% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.74% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 2.72% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-2 @ 1.38% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 0.99% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 56.5%
1-1 @ 10.83% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.9% (0.011 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.97% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.84%
0-1 @ 5.94% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.46%
0-2 @ 2.99% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 1.83% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.67% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1%
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 20.65%

Head to Head
Jul 10, 2021 3pm
Apr 25, 2015 5.30pm
Stranraer
0-2
Morton

Gibson (75')
Aitken (93')
McManus (40' pen., 44')
Russell (64'), Kilday (74'), McManus (87')
Lamie (77')
Feb 21, 2015 3pm
Dec 6, 2014 3pm
Stranraer
2-0
Morton
Malcolm (30', 46')

Pepper (43'), Crighton (50')
Crighton (59'), Pepper (85')
Aug 16, 2014 3pm
Morton
4-0
Stranraer
McManus (19' pen., 45'), McCluskey (32'), Pepper (56')
Milojevic (36')

Gallagher (31'), Russell (43'), Fahey (58')
Mitchell (18'), Russell (77')
rhs 2.0
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