Scottish Challenge Cup | Third Round

Sep 24, 2022 at 3pm UK

Victoria Park

Buckie Thistle
1 - 2
Linfield

Goodall (53')
MacAskill (13'), Pugh (37'), Urquhart (73')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Cooper (74'), Quinn (75')
Shields (21'), Fallon (51'), Mulgrew (55'), Cooper (56')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Third Round clash between Buckie Thistle and Linfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

Buckie Thistle

Last Game: Buckie Thistle 1-1 Brora Rangers (4-2 pen.)
Wednesday, August 24 at 8pm in Scottish Challenge Cup

Linfield

Last Six:

Last Game: Crusaders 2-1 Linfield
Friday, September 16 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 67.1%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Buckie Thistle had a probability of 14.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.79%) and 0-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.66%), while for a Buckie Thistle win it was 2-1 (4.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.

Result
Buckie Thistle	Draw	Linfield
14.31% ( -1.27)	18.59% ( -0.67)	67.1% ( 1.94)

Both teams to score 54.67% (

-0.84)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.07% (

0.47)

37.93% (

-0.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.82% (

0.5)

60.18% (

-0.49)

Buckie Thistle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.04% (

-1.38)

38.96% (

1.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.31% (

-1.32)

75.69% (

1.33)

Linfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.57% (

0.63)

10.43% (

-0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.99% (

1.4)

34.01% (

-1.4)

Score Analysis

Buckie Thistle 14.31%

Linfield 67.1%

Draw 18.59%

Buckie Thistle	Draw	Linfield
2-1 @ 4.08% ( -0.3) 1-0 @ 3.83% ( -0.24) 2-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.15) Other @ 1.87% Total : 14.31%	1-1 @ 8.66% ( -0.3) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 4.06% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.16% Total : 18.59%	0-2 @ 10.38% ( 0.31) 1-2 @ 9.79% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 7.82% ( 0.43) 1-3 @ 7.37% ( 0.14) 0-4 @ 4.42% ( 0.35) 1-4 @ 4.17% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 3.48% ( -0.07) 0-5 @ 2% ( 0.21) 2-4 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.88% ( 0.13) Other @ 4.64% Total : 67.1%