Scottish Challenge Cup | First Round

Aug 10, 2022 at 8pm UK

Prestonfield

Hearts U21s
2 - 3
Buckie Thistle

Smith (35'), McGill (70')
McGill (39'), Denholm (81')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Murray (50'), Ramsay (73'), Pugh (75')
Herbert (35'), Pugh (35'), Murray (53'), McCabe (60'), Milne (90+3')

Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup First Round clash between Hearts Under-21s and Buckie Thistle.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts Under-21s

Last Game: Hamilton 3-2 Hearts U21s
Tuesday, August 31 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup

Buckie Thistle

Last Game: East Fife 3-2 Buckie Thistle
Tuesday, July 19 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buckie Thistle win with a probability of 71.97%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Hearts Under-21s had a probability of 13.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buckie Thistle win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (8.08%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.83%), while for a Hearts Under-21s win it was 2-1 (3.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Buckie Thistle would win this match.

Result
Hearts Under-21s	Draw	Buckie Thistle
13.05% ( 0.01)	14.98% ( -0.05)	71.97% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 65.98% (

0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

77.4% (

0.32)

22.6% (

-0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

58.28% (

0.44)

41.71% (

-0.44)

Hearts Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.89% (

0.26)

30.11% (

-0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.75% (

0.31)

66.24% (

-0.31)

Buckie Thistle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.4% (

0.08)

5.59% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

78.28% (

0.23)

21.71% (

-0.23)

Score Analysis

Hearts Under-21s 13.05%

Buckie Thistle 71.97%

Draw 14.98%

Hearts Under-21s	Draw	Buckie Thistle
2-1 @ 3.5% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 1.4% ( 0) 2-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.9% Total : 13.05%	1-1 @ 5.83% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.48% Total : 14.98%	1-2 @ 8.4% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 8.08% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 6.73% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 5.83% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 4.85% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 4.85% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 4.85% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 3.5% ( 0.04) 1-5 @ 3.36% ( 0.03) 0-5 @ 2.8% ( 0.01) 2-5 @ 2.02% ( 0.03) 1-6 @ 1.62% ( 0.02) 3-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.03) 0-6 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) 2-6 @ 0.97% ( 0.02) Other @ 4.38% Total : 71.97%