We said: West Ham United 1-0 Wolverhampton Wanderers
West Ham should sense an opportunity now that the Collins-Kilman partnership has been broken up, and a Diego Costa still working his way towards full match fitness is certainly not the answer to Wolves' attacking shortcomings.
Moyes will be tempted to tinker with his wealth of options in the final third, and while fireworks may not fly between two sides who saw the international break come at an ideal time, West Ham can harness their European goalscoring energy to pick up a long-awaited home win.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 45.3%. A win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 27.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.78%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 0-1 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.