Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 71.6%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 11.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.11%), while for a Southampton win it was 0-1 (3.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.