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Premier League | Gameweek 12
Oct 19, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
St James' Park
Everton logo

Newcastle
1 - 0
Everton

Almiron (31')
Joelinton (24'), Schar (44')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Calvert-Lewin (7'), Gordon (44'), Gueye (64'), Tarkowski (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Everton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man Utd 0-0 Newcastle
Sunday, October 16 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Spurs 2-0 Everton
Saturday, October 15 at 5.30pm in Premier League

We said: Newcastle United 2-0 Everton

Newcastle will head into Wednesday's fixture as favourites considering their recent form, position in the table and record on home soil, while Everton's poor away form also bodes well for the hosts. The Toffees have scored in 20 of their last 21 encounters with Newcastle, but they may struggle to breach a resilient Magpies backline on this occasion, with Howe's side also possessing enough quality to come away with all three points despite the absence of Isak and Saint-Maximin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 61.75%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Everton had a probability of 16.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Everton win it was 0-1 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Newcastle United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Newcastle United.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawEverton
61.75% (0.205 0.2) 21.31% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07) 16.94% (-0.132 -0.13)
Both teams to score 51.52% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.83% (0.087000000000003 0.09)45.17% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.48% (0.080999999999996 0.08)67.52% (-0.080999999999989 -0.08)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.91% (0.091999999999999 0.09)14.09% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.29% (0.178 0.18)41.71% (-0.177 -0.18)
Everton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.97% (-0.108 -0.11)40.03% (0.109 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.32% (-0.099999999999998 -0.1)76.68% (0.101 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 61.75%
    Everton 16.94%
    Draw 21.31%
Newcastle UnitedDrawEverton
1-0 @ 11.05%
2-0 @ 10.83% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 7.07% (0.043 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.48% (0.021 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.47% (0.033 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.17% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.97% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.45% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 1.36% (0.017 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.24% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 61.75%
1-1 @ 10.12% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.64% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.54% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 21.31%
0-1 @ 5.17% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-2 @ 4.63% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.36% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.41% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.39% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 16.94%

How you voted: Newcastle vs Everton

Newcastle United
73.4%
Draw
14.8%
Everton
11.8%
229
Head to Head
Mar 17, 2022 7.45pm
Everton
1-0
Newcastle
Iwobi (90+9')
Richarlison (64'), Gordon (76')
Allan (83')

Krafth (76')
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Newcastle
3-1
Everton
Holgate (37' og.), Fraser (56'), Trippier (80')
Shelvey (33'), Schar (50')
Lascelles (36' og.)
Holgate (14'), Gomes (47'), Allan (79')
Jan 30, 2021 12.30pm
Everton
0-2
Newcastle

Sigurdsson (33'), Keane (61'), Rodriguez (79')
Wilson (73', 90+3')
Lascelles (4'), Shelvey (21'), Darlow (84'), Hendrick (88')
Nov 1, 2020 2pm
Newcastle
2-1
Everton
Wilson (56' pen., 84')
Wilson (55'), Murphy (90+5')
Calvert-Lewin (90+1')
Nkounkou (32'), Mina (69'), Allan (72'), Doucoure (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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