Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 12

Oct 19, 2022 at 7.30pm UK

St James' Park

Newcastle
1 - 0
Everton

Almiron (31')
Joelinton (24'), Schar (44')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Calvert-Lewin (7'), Gordon (44'), Gueye (64'), Tarkowski (89')

Eddie Howe takes pride from Newcastle United's "character" versus Everton

Eddie Howe says that he took pride from Newcastle United's show of "character" to edge out Everton by a 1-0 scoreline in the Premier League on Wednesday evening.

Oct 19, 22:45

Newcastle United's Miguel Almiron celebrates scoring against Everton on October 19, 2022

Newcastle United up to fifth in Premier League with narrow win over Everton

Miguel Almiron scores the only goal of the match as Newcastle United record a 1-0 victory over Everton at St James' Park.

Oct 19, 21:30

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Everton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions

Last Game: Man Utd 0-0 Newcastle
Sunday, October 16 at 2pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Everton

All competitions

Last Game: Spurs 2-0 Everton
Saturday, October 15 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Newcastle United 2-0 Everton

Newcastle will head into Wednesday's fixture as favourites considering their recent form, position in the table and record on home soil, while Everton's poor away form also bodes well for the hosts. The Toffees have scored in 20 of their last 21 encounters with Newcastle, but they may struggle to breach a resilient Magpies backline on this occasion, with Howe's side also possessing enough quality to come away with all three points despite the absence of Isak and Saint-Maximin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 61.75%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Everton had a probability of 16.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Everton win it was 0-1 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Newcastle United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Newcastle United.

Result
Newcastle United	Draw	Everton
61.75% ( 0.2)	21.31% ( -0.07)	16.94% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 51.52% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.83% (

0.09)

45.17% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.48% (

0.08)

67.52% (

-0.08)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.91% (

0.09)

14.09% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.29% (

0.18)

41.71% (

-0.18)

Everton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.97% (

-0.11)

40.03% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.32% (

-0.1)

76.68% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Newcastle United 61.75%

Everton 16.94%

Draw 21.31%

Newcastle United	Draw	Everton
1-0 @ 11.05% 2-0 @ 10.83% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.48% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.47% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.17% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.97% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.74% Total : 61.75%	1-1 @ 10.12% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.64% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.31%	0-1 @ 5.17% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.98% Total : 16.94%