Chelsea

2 - 1

Man City

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 48.46%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.69%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 2-1 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.