Jagiellonia4 - 2Rakow
Form, Standings, Stats
Friday, December 1 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
for
Sunday, December 3 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
for
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 41.38%. A win for Rakow Czestochowa had a probability of 31.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Rakow Czestochowa win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jagiellonia Bialystok would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jagiellonia Bialystok | Draw | Rakow Czestochowa |
41.38% ( -0.18) | 26.73% ( -0.1) | 31.89% ( 0.28) |
| Both teams to score 50.97% ( 0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.06% ( 0.47) | 53.94% ( -0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.61% ( 0.39) | 75.39% ( -0.4) |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.3% ( 0.12) | 25.7% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.38% ( 0.16) | 60.62% ( -0.16) |
| Rakow Czestochowa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.61% ( 0.43) | 31.39% ( -0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.23% ( 0.5) | 67.76% ( -0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok | Draw | Rakow Czestochowa |
| 1-0 @ 10.96% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 8.63% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.45% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 3.91% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.33% Total : 41.37% | 1-1 @ 12.7% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.07% ( -0.15)2-2 @ 5% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.73% | 0-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 7.36% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.91% Total : 31.89% |
