MX23RW : Friday, September 20 22:52:45| >> :300:86500:86500:
Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 18
Dec 10, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Stadion Miejski
Rakow

Jagiellonia
4 - 2
Rakow

Naranjo (12', 33'), Nene (46', 63')
Romanczuk (56'), Naranjo (74'), Pululu (90')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Svarnas (22'), Zwolinski (86')
Berggren (52')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Jagiellonia Bialystok and Rakow Czestochowa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Warta Poznan 1-2 Jagiellonia
Friday, December 1 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Slask Wroclaw 1-1 Rakow
Sunday, December 3 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 41.38%. A win for Rakow Czestochowa had a probability of 31.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Rakow Czestochowa win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jagiellonia Bialystok would win this match.

Result
Jagiellonia BialystokDrawRakow Czestochowa
41.38% (-0.184 -0.18) 26.73% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1) 31.89% (0.277 0.28)
Both teams to score 50.97% (0.406 0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.06% (0.469 0.47)53.94% (-0.474 -0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.61% (0.393 0.39)75.39% (-0.39699999999999 -0.4)
Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.3% (0.11799999999999 0.12)25.7% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.38% (0.16 0.16)60.62% (-0.163 -0.16)
Rakow Czestochowa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.61% (0.434 0.43)31.39% (-0.439 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.23% (0.499 0.5)67.76% (-0.503 -0.5)
Score Analysis
    Jagiellonia Bialystok 41.37%
    Rakow Czestochowa 31.89%
    Draw 26.73%
Jagiellonia BialystokDrawRakow Czestochowa
1-0 @ 10.96% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-1 @ 8.63% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 7.45% (-0.087000000000001 -0.09)
3-1 @ 3.91% (0.015 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.37% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.26% (0.035 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.33% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.15% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 41.37%
1-1 @ 12.7% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.07% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-2 @ 5% (0.062 0.06)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.73%
0-1 @ 9.35% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-2 @ 7.36% (0.065 0.07)
0-2 @ 5.42% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.84% (0.059 0.06)
0-3 @ 2.09% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.93% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 31.89%

Head to Head
Jul 22, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 1
Rakow
3-0
Jagiellonia
Zwolinski (45+2', 63' pen.), Nowak (65')

Pululu (9'), Nastic (10'), Imaz Balleste (30'), Nene (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Patriots
3-24
Jets
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Lech Poznan86111631319
2Pogon SzczecinSzczecin95131510516
3KS CracoviaCracovia85121511416
4Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice8431107315
5Legia WarsawLegia94231610614
6Rakow CzestochowaRakow842263314
7Widzew Lodz83321110112
8Jagiellonia BialystokJagiellonia74031114-312
9Katowice82339909
10Radomiak Radom83051415-19
11Motor Lublin723268-29
12Korona Kielce9234613-79
13Puszcza Niepolomice81529908
14Gornik ZabrzeGornik8224912-38
15Zaglebie Lubin822459-48
16Lechia GdanskGdansk8224915-68
17Slask Wroclaw6042610-44
18Stal Mielec711549-54


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