While France had the luxury of resting some of their top stars in midweek, Argentina's notable names were not afforded such respite due to their volatile group standing, and fatigue may be evident for the South Americans here. A titanic battle can be expected regardless, one where Henry's men ought to lose their perfect defensive record, but the hosts still have our backing to march on to the semi-finals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France Under-23s win with a probability of 56.24%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Argentina Under-23s had a probability of 19.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a France Under-23s win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.18%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for an Argentina Under-23s win it was 0-1 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for France Under-23s in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for France Under-23s.

Result
France Under-23s	Draw	Argentina Under-23s
56.24% ( 0.26)	24.51% ( -0.04)	19.25% ( -0.22)

Both teams to score 46.11% (

-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.41% (

-0.1)

54.59% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.07% (

-0.08)

75.93% (

0.09)

France Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.68% (

0.06)

19.32% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.92% (

0.1)

51.08% (

-0.1)

Argentina Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.15% (

-0.31)

42.85% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.84% (

-0.26)

79.16% (

0.26)

Score Analysis

France Under-23s 56.23%

Argentina Under-23s 19.25%

Draw 24.5%

France Under-23s	Draw	Argentina Under-23s
1-0 @ 13.6% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 11.18% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.2% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.52% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.14% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.87% Total : 56.23%	1-1 @ 11.53% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.28% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.68% Total : 24.5%	0-1 @ 7.01% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.86% Total : 19.25%