New Zealand will need to be at their best on Monday as they go up against host nation France who have flown out of the blocks. Given the gulf in quality and depth between the two sides, we predict Henry's side will come away with all three points unscathed. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New Zealand Under-23s win with a probability of 81.74%. A draw had a probability of 10.6% and a win for France Under-23s had a probability of 7.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a New Zealand Under-23s win was 3-1 with a probability of 7.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (7.27%) and 4-1 (6.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.9%), while for a France Under-23s win it was 1-2 (2.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-3 win for France Under-23s in this match.

Result
New Zealand Under-23s	Draw	France Under-23s
81.74% ( -0.08)	10.63% ( 0.04)	7.63% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 64.31% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

83.52%

16.48% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

67.1% (

-0)

32.9% (

0.01)

New Zealand Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

96.95% (

-0)

3.05% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

86.32% (

-0.03)

13.68% (

0.04)

France Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.33% (

0.1)

33.67% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.68% (

0.11)

70.32% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

New Zealand Under-23s 81.74%

France Under-23s 7.63%

Draw 10.63%

New Zealand Under-23s	Draw	France Under-23s
3-1 @ 7.92% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.27% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 6.91% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.8% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 6.35% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 4.83% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 4.43% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 4.31% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 3.58% ( -0) 6-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 2.63% ( 0) 6-0 @ 2.58% ( -0.01) 6-2 @ 1.53% 7-1 @ 1.4% ( -0) 4-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) 7-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) 5-3 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 4.77% Total : 81.74%	1-1 @ 3.9% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.7% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.43% Total : 10.63%	1-2 @ 2.12% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 3.05% Total : 7.63%